Reality Check

The strategies you were promised would make you rich — honestly tested.

We ran the most-hyped retail trading strategies through our anti-bias engine on 3 years of real BTC data (2023–2026), sized at a sane 1% risk per trade. Not one of them beat simply holding the asset (+113%). Every test below shows the real price chart, every trade, and the verdict — 3 outright losers, 4 that were just market beta in disguise.

7 strategies tested

8 TradingView strategies

The famous Pine-Script strategies with gorgeous TradingView backtests — SuperTrend, RSI(2), Turtle, Bollinger…
📉 ALL LOSE
8 / 8 lost money
ETH/SOL · 1hPF 0.46–0.86 · see the test →

RSI Oversold Bounce

Buy when RSI drops below 30 — "guaranteed" bounce. The single most-taught retail signal on YouTube and TradingView.
🟡 JUST MARKET BETA
+11% vs +113% doing nothing
BTC · 1h142 trades · see the test →

RSI Overbought Short

Short when RSI climbs above 70 — "the top is in". The mirror trade every mean-reversion course sells.
📉 LOSES MONEY
Lost $1,774 of $10k
BTC · 1h129 trades · see the test →

Golden Cross

Buy when price crosses above the 200 SMA — the "golden cross" every financial news site treats as a buy signal.
🟡 JUST MARKET BETA
+1% vs +114% doing nothing
BTC · 4h87 trades · see the test →

Death Cross Short

Short the "death cross" — price falling below the 200 SMA is supposedly the start of a crash.
📉 LOSES MONEY
Lost $3 of $10k
BTC · 4h86 trades · see the test →

MACD Crossover

Buy when the MACD line crosses above its signal line — the "momentum confirmation" every indicator tutorial recommends.
🟡 JUST MARKET BETA
+0% vs +114% doing nothing
BTC · 4h250 trades · see the test →

Bollinger Band Bounce

Buy the lower Bollinger Band — price "always" reverts to the mean. A staple of every mean-reversion strategy.
📉 LOSES MONEY
Lost $719 of $10k
BTC · 1h197 trades · see the test →

Stochastic Oversold

Buy when Stochastic crosses up out of oversold (20) — the classic "momentum turning" entry.
🟡 JUST MARKET BETA
+7% vs +113% doing nothing
BTC · 1h202 trades · see the test →
Build & test your own — no code, no spreadsheets
1

Describe your idea in plain English

Type it the way you'd explain it to a friend:

buy when RSI drops below 30, take profit 3%, stop loss 1.5%
2

AI turns it into exact rules

The Studio compiles your words into a precise strategy — entries, exits, risk sizing, 11 indicators to combine. You can tweak every condition in the visual builder.

3

Get the honest verdict in seconds

Up to 3 years of real data through the same anti-bias engine that produced every result above — equity curve, full trade log, and flags that expose fake edges.

Think your strategy is different?

Free to start — no card required. If it survives the engine, you'll know it's real. If it doesn't, you just saved your deposit.

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